(a) Industrial and economic statistics that are considered to raise or fall before the changes in economic growth rates and total business activity; a predictor of future performance (e.g. bond yields); (b) Leading Economic Indicators: A composite index of ten economic indicators (e.g. factory orders) designed to predict economic activity six to nine months in future.
Economic indicators thought to forecast the future level or direction of economic activity.
Economic variables which are seen as anticipatory of future trends or expectations (eg. share prices, currency movements), as opposed to indicators which are based on retrospective or historical statistics. (Opposite of Lagging Indicators).
Economic indicators used to predict future economic activity like the levels of the S&P 500 index.
Economic aggregates that influence future economic activity such as unemployment rate, Consumer Price Index...
Statistics that are used to anticipate future economic activity.
the US government provides information on a series of leading indicators each month: GNP, unemployment, factory inventories to name a few. These indicators reflect early warnings of change. Indicators can be established for any field (e.g., financial, industrial, technology, environmental) These can also be called key performance indicators. As they represent the performance of the most important aspects of the field being studied. The numbers are representative of large amounts of data that are reduced to simple highly representative numbers. ()
Economic variables that are considered to predict future economic activity (i.e. Unemployment, Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Retail Sales, Personal Income, Prime Rate, Discount Rate, and Federal Funds Rate).
Statistic that are considered to precede changes in economic growth rates and total business activity, e.g. factory orders.
Economic indicators that change before the economy changes
Economic variables that are interpreted as anticipating future trends or expectations (ie. share prices and currency movements), contrary to indicators based on retrospective or historical statistics. (Opposite of Lagging Indicators).
Statistical data which, on average, indicate highs and lows in the business cycle ahead for the economy as a whole. They relate to capital investment, business start-ups and failures, corporate profits, stock prices, inventory adjustments, housing starts and certain commodity prices.
Statistics that are considered to predict future economic activity.
Certain indicators that reflect early warnings of change. They vary by field (e.g., economic, social, environmental) and are the important trends as identified by practitioners in the field. They are useful because they take the very large number of relevant variables and reduce them to the important few (which may also include combinations of the individual variables) which signal changes coming in the relevant subject areas
Twelve components of an index that forecast ups and downs in a business cycle. The numbers, adjusted for inflation, are released monthly by the US Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. Its full name is the "Composite Index of 12 Leading Indicators". Some of the components are unemployment, new orders for consumer goods and money supply (M-2). See: Consumer Price Index; Economic Indicators; Gross National Product; Indicator; Inflation; Money Supply; Producer Price Index
Economic indicators, such as housing starts and stock prices, that signal coming trends in the economy as a whole.
A selection of statistical data that, on average, indicate highs and lows in the business cycle ahead of the economy as a whole. For example, capital investment, business starts, and profits.
Those economic statistics that in the past have turned up or down in advance of the general business situation. The Leading Indicator Index is a composite of several such series. There are also Coincidental Indicators (that move with the situation) and Lagging Indicators ( that move after the situation).
Such statistics as unemployment rates, CPI, Federal Funds Rate, retail sales, personal income, discount rate and the prime rate that are used to predict economic activity.
statistics used to predict economic trends
Market statistics that signal the state of the economy for a given period of time, such as unemployment rate, housing starts, and change in money supply.
Economic indicators which provide an insight into future economic trends or insights.
Market indicators that signal the state of the economy for the coming months. Some of the leading indicators include: average manufacturing workweek, initial claims for unemployment insurance, orders for consumer goods and material, percentage of companies reporting slower deliveries, change in manufacturers' unfilled orders for durable goods, plant and equipment orders, new building permits, index of consumer expectations, change in material prices, prices of stocks, change in money supply.
These are market indicators that usually move before the general economy changes direction. Such indicators include employment, profits and certain commodity prices. For example, business profits start to rise during an economic expansion, but as the economy reaches the peak the rate at which profits increase slows down. Profits begin to flatten out and decrease as employment costs increase (caused by overtime needed to meet high demand) and cut into profit margins. At the peak of the economy, profits already are beginning to fall. Therefore profits lead the general economy and give some warning of economic conditions to come.
Components of an index released monthly by the U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. A measure used to predict the financial condition and stability of a particular industry or the economy in general, represented by such indicators as the unemployment rate. The index of leading indicators, the components of which are adjusted for inflation, has accurately forecast ups and downs in the business cycle. Official full name: Composite Index of 11 Leading Indicators. See also Economic Indicators.
A Leading Indicator is a composite index designed to forecast trends in the overall economy. One such index, called simply the Index of Leading Indicators is based on ten key indicators assumed to precede changes in the American economy. Though leading indicators have, by their very anture, a less than perfect historical record, they are still worthwhile forecasting tools for economists and policymakers.